Month-end trading sentiment weakened high-quality copper scarcity "elevated" premiums [SMM Shanghai spot copper]

Published: Aug 27, 2025 14:33
[SHFE Copper Spot] Looking ahead to tomorrow, as the month-end approaches, market sentiment is expected to weaken further, and SHFE copper spot premiums are anticipated to remain stagnant.

SMM August 27 News:

       Today, SMM #1 copper cathode spot prices against the current month 2509 contract were at a premium of 80-260 yuan/mt, with an average quote at a premium of 170 yuan/mt, up 40 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SMM #1 copper cathode prices were 79,420-79,670 yuan/mt. In the morning, SHFE copper 2509 contract briefly touched 79,470 yuan/mt before starting to decline, reaching a low of 79,330 yuan/mt around 11:00 AM. The price spread between futures contracts remained near zero, and the import loss for SHFE copper was around 200 yuan/mt; recent imports have been limited.

      Intraday sales sentiment slightly declined, mainly because some customers did not engage in cargoes with invoices dated next month. Downstream procurement remained just-in-time, and long-term contract cargo pick-ups exceeded spot orders. In Shanghai, the purchasing sentiment for copper cathode was 3.16, and the selling sentiment was 3.18. In the morning, mainstream standard-quality copper traded at a premium of 100-120 yuan/mt for cargoes with invoices dated next month. High-quality copper was in short supply, with quotes as high as a premium of 250-270 yuan/mt, and only a small amount of premium 200-230 yuan/mt was quickly sold out. Non-registered copper traded at a discount of 60 yuan/mt, and SX-EW copper from Myanmar and other sources traded at parity. In Changzhou, transactions occurred at a premium of 60-90 yuan/mt, with downstream just-in-time procurement being the main activity.

      Looking ahead to tomorrow, as the month-end approaches, market trading sentiment is expected to weaken further, and SHFE copper spot premiums are expected to remain stagnant.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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